The prior probability of the resurrection cannot be assessed by counting how many people have naturally risen — category error

Some skeptics calculate the probability of resurrection by noting that billions of people have died and none naturally rose, therefore the probability is near zero. Mike argues: (a) we only have data on people we actually know about, not theoretical billions; (b) more importantly, the resurrection is not a claim about a natural random process — it is a claim that God intentionally and purposefully raised Jesus. So natural-baseline probability is the wrong metric entirely. The correct calculation would involve factors like: does God exist, did God have reasons to raise Jesus (love, redemption, justice, prophecy fulfillment), etc.