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All (54) Mike Winger (54)
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Introduction: The slogan "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" as a reason people reject the resurrection

Mike opens by framing the entire talk around evaluating this popular skeptical slogan, which he says is the primary reason many people reject the resurrection of Christ.

Apologetics Resurrection of Jesus Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Origin of the slogan: Carl Sagan coined "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence"

Mike traces the historical origin of the slogan before critiquing it.

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Carl Sagan Cosmos (TV show)
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Christopher Hitchens applied the slogan to God and the resurrection in debates with William Lane Craig

After explaining Sagan's origin, Mike describes how the slogan was weaponized in atheist apologetics.

William Lane Craig Resurrection of Jesus Christopher Hitchens
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

David Hume as possible earlier source of the idea behind the slogan

Mike traces the philosophical lineage of the slogan back to the 18th century.

David Hume Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Miracles
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

How the slogan functions in practice: a rhetorical device to dismiss evidence without engaging it

Mike describes the actual real-world usage pattern he has encountered when presenting evidence for Christianity.

Apologetics Resurrection of Jesus Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Mike Twitter-polled atheists to understand how they define the terms in the slogan

Rather than strawmanning skeptics, Mike sought direct input from atheists on his Twitter following to understand how they define "extraordinary."

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Definition of extraordinary
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Personal sympathy for the slogan: the desire not to be gullible

Mike acknowledges the psychological appeal of the slogan before dismantling it.

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Gullibility vs. denial Epistemology
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Overview: Five problems with the slogan

Mike previews his structured five-point critique of the slogan.

Apologetics Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Problem 1: The slogan is self-defeating — it does not meet its own standard

First of five critiques of the slogan.

Circular reasoning Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Self-defeating argument
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Problem 2: No clear definition of what "extraordinary" means — equivocation fallacy

Second of five critiques.

Equivocation fallacy Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Definition of extraordinary
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter respondents define "extraordinary claim" as low prior probability

Part of Mike's data-gathering from Twitter atheists about how they define the slogan's terms.

Resurrection of Jesus Definition of extraordinary Prior probability
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter respondents cannot define "extraordinary evidence" — shifting, subjective standard

Part of the data-gathering from Twitter, illustrating the definitional problem with the slogan.

Equivocation fallacy Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Epistemology
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Mike asks Twitter: what specific historical evidence for the resurrection would count as "extraordinary"?

Mike probes the practical application of the slogan to the resurrection specifically.

Apologetics Resurrection of Jesus Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter response 1: Jesus appearing across the globe with stories from all nations as required evidence

First Twitter respondent's example of what extraordinary evidence for the resurrection would look like.

Resurrection of Jesus Eyewitness testimony Historical evidence
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter response 2: Eyewitness testimony from various continents, plus written testimony from Pilate or Sanhedrin

Second respondent's examples of extraordinary resurrection evidence.

1 Corinthians 1 Corinthians Paul the Apostle Resurrection of Jesus
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter response 3: Want documented accounts with originals protected — which is what we have

Third respondent's example of extraordinary evidence.

Bart Ehrman Resurrection of Jesus Biblical manuscripts
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Textual criticism: the discipline that traces copies back to originals and why we can trust the transmission

Brief explanation of how we verify the integrity of the New Testament text.

Biblical manuscripts Textual criticism New Testament reliability
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter response 4: Bible found on the moon, photos from 2000 years ago, predictions — absurd demands

Fourth respondent's example of extraordinary evidence — illustrating how the slogan leads to unreasonable expectations.

Resurrection of Jesus Historical evidence Prophecy
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter response 5: Contemporary writings of life, death, resurrection with originals — we have near-contemporary documents, especially 1 Corinthians 15

Fifth respondent example; Mike pivots to addressing 1 Corinthians 15 as key early evidence.

1 Corinthians 15 1 Corinthians 15 Resurrection of Jesus Early creed
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter response 5 continued: demands 12 angels, 12 prophets, 12 languages simultaneously — unreasonable historical expectation

The same respondent adds a preferred but unreasonable standard.

Resurrection of Jesus Historical evidence Unreasonable skepticism
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter response 6: Alien video recording of the resurrection — PhD-level absurdity

Sixth respondent, reportedly holding a PhD, demands alien video recording as extraordinary evidence.

Resurrection of Jesus Historical evidence Unreasonable skepticism
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Twitter response 7: Signed first-century testimony from Pilate — Paul is a better answer

Seventh respondent; Mike argues Paul's conversion is more powerful than any Pilate testimony could be.

Paul the Apostle Resurrection of Jesus Eyewitness testimony
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Summary: the Twitter examples reveal the slogan creates unreasonable expectations to dodge evidence

Mike wraps up the Twitter survey analysis.

Resurrection of Jesus Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Evidence dismissal
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Problem 3: The slogan results in rejecting any claim you want — confirmation bias

Third of five critiques of the slogan.

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Existence of God Epistemology
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Evidence for God's existence: design, morality, prophecy; God as necessary being

Mike briefly asserts a positive case that God's existence is not extraordinary but expected.

Moral argument for God Existence of God Prophecy
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Problem 4: The slogan results in ignoring good evidence via double standards and special pleading

Fourth of five critiques.

Resurrection of Jesus Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Special pleading
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

The slogan formalized as a syllogism — and why it fails at premise 4

Mike reconstructs the argument in syllogistic form, attributed to critics of Sagan's argument ("argumentum Sagani").

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Carl Sagan Miracles
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Problem 5: The slogan misapplies prior probability — humans are bad at estimating probabilities

Fifth and final critique, focused on the prior probability dimension.

Epistemology Prior probability Human probability estimation
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

The prior probability of the resurrection cannot be assessed by counting how many people have naturally risen — category error

Mike drills into the specific error of applying natural-process probability to a theistic miracle claim.

Resurrection of Jesus Miracles Prior probability
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Richard Swinburne has done serious academic work on the prior probability of the resurrection

Mike cites a scholar who has engaged the probability question rigorously.

Resurrection of Jesus Richard Swinburne Prior probability
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Evidence can overcome even extremely low prior probabilities — the question is "did it happen?" not "what are the odds?"

Mike's positive epistemological alternative to the slogan's approach.

Resurrection of Jesus Epistemology Prior probability
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

David Hume's confirmation bias: he used the prior improbability of miracles to refuse even examining the evidence

Mike connects Hume's philosophical approach to the confirmation bias critique (Problem 3).

David Hume Christopher Hitchens Miracles
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Hume's anti-evidential stance is the philosophical ancestor of New Atheist ridicule tactics

Mike traces the intellectual lineage from Hume to modern internet skepticism.

David Hume Christopher Hitchens Miracles
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Practical illustration: reliable coworker Jeff missing work — evidence overcomes prior probability

Mike uses an everyday scenario to illustrate how evidence should override prior probability.

Epistemology Prior probability Confirmation bias
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

The cumulative case for the resurrection: what evidence we actually have

Mike assembles the positive evidence for the resurrection after dismantling the slogan's objections.

James the brother of Jesus Paul the Apostle Resurrection of Jesus James the brother of Jesus
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Adding corroborating evidence: reasons to believe God exists and Scripture is reliable further overcome any prior improbability

Mike adds to the cumulative case by connecting evidence for God and Scripture to the prior probability question.

Existence of God Prior probability New Testament reliability
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Mike's positive replacement for the slogan: evidence makes a claim believable when data is better explained by the hypothesis being true

Mike offers a rigorous epistemological alternative to the slogan.

Resurrection of Jesus Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Epistemology
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Intellectual clarity requires spiritual health — Romans 1 on the connection between spiritual state and clear thinking

Mike adds a theological qualifier to the apologetics discussion.

Romans 1 Romans 1 Hardened heart Apologetics and spiritual condition
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Apologetics is useful and important but should not be overstated — it works differently for different people

Mike's pastoral qualification on the limits of apologetics.

Apologetics Evangelism Limits of apologetics
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Recommendation: Tim McGrew discussion on Capturing Christianity channel for deeper philosophical analysis of the slogan

Mike directs viewers to further study.

Capturing Christianity Tim McGrew Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Q&A begins; note on busyness and the importance of deliberate margin in life

Transition to live Q&A.

Christian living
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Q&A: Tips for young first-time pastor doing outreach to youth/college-age in a congregation of older saints

Pastoral question from a viewer.

Youth ministry Discipleship Pastoral ministry
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Q&A: Have you asked atheists why they even care what people believe about God?

Question from Sadie Mayo.

Apologetics Atheism Motivation for anti-religion
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Q&A: Tips for evangelizing to peers before military training — Greg Koukl's Tactics recommended

Viewer heading to military training asks about evangelism strategies.

Greg Koukl Evangelism Tactics (book)
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Q&A: Is it wrong to approach a pastor who taught something theologically unsound?

Viewer question about church accountability.

Christian living Church accountability Pastoral correction
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Q&A: How to deal with coworkers who want proof of God's existence — resources recommended

Viewer (law enforcement officer) asks how to engage atheist coworkers.

Isaiah 53 Psalm 22 William Lane Craig Isaiah 53 Psalm 22
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Q&A: Is a particular heart condition needed to see the reliability of evidence? — Luke 10:23-24 discussed

Viewer asks about the relationship between spiritual state and ability to assess evidence.

Luke 10:23-24 Hardened heart Apologetics and spiritual condition Luke 10:23-24
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Former atheists: some came to faith through argumentation, others through experiential transformation first

Part of the answer about heart condition and evidence.

Evangelism Apologetics and spiritual condition Conversion
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Q&A: Fire-breathing dragon analogy — why the resurrection is not analogous to fantastic claims

Viewer tests the slogan with a car vs. dragon analogy.

Resurrection of Jesus Historical evidence Fire-breathing dragon analogy
Mike Winger idea 2019-05-01

Jesus-as-myth parallels to dragon analogy — internet claims of mythological foundations are "hokum"

Mike briefly addresses the mythicist position.

Resurrection of Jesus Jesus mythicism Historical Jesus
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